Kondratiev Waves and Cybernetic Revolution: Forecasts for the Sixth Technological Paradigm

A research paper by Leonid Grinin from the National Research University Higher School of Economics, analyzing the relationship between Kondratiev waves and major technological revolutions. The paper makes forecasts about the features of the sixth Kondratiev wave, expected in the 2030s–2040s, which is predicted to merge with the final phase of the ongoing cybernetic revolution. The work focuses on the development of a complex of medical-bio-nano-robotic-info-cognitive (MBNRIK) technologies.

Use Cases

• Analyzing the historical correlation between economic cycles and technological change based on the theory of production principles.
• Forecasting the characteristics of future technological paradigms based on the described phase of self-regulating systems.
• Studying the predicted convergence of medical, biological, nano, robotic, information, and cognitive technologies (MBNRIK).

Strengths

• Authored by a researcher from a known academic institution (National Research University Higher School of Economics).
• Presents a specific temporal forecast for the sixth Kondratiev wave (2030s–2040s).
• Provides a defined conceptual framework linking cybernetics, Kondratiev waves, and a specific set of converging technologies.

Limitations

• The dataset is a single research paper; it is not a collection of structured data records.
• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Last update date is unknown; freshness unverified.

Provenance

Source

National Research University Higher School of Economics

Collection Method

Theoretical analysis and forecasting based on the theory of production principles and production revolutions.

Time Range

Analysis spans historical technological revolutions with forecasts for the 2030s–2040s.