AFOS: Brazil 2026 Presidential Election Divergence Data

Brazil's 2026 presidential election cycle is monitored by the AFOS Analytics platform. The dataset cross-references prediction markets, registered polling institutes, and press coverage to flag divergence between sources, providing a daily time series and analysis snapshots. It is an observational research release by AFOS Analytics, last updated on July 12, 2026.

Use Cases

• Analyzing divergence between prediction markets and traditional polls based on the daily time series per candidate.
• Studying the evolution of electoral signals over time based on the dated analysis snapshots.
• Researching media coverage of elections based on the inclusion of public news links.

Strengths

• Cross-references data from three distinct public sources: prediction markets, polling institutes, and press coverage.
• Provides a daily time series focused on divergence, offering a granular view of the 2026 election cycle.
• Contains only public electoral data and is explicitly noted as compliant with Brazil's LGPD data protection law.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count and file formats are unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Last updated 2026-07-12 20:43:52; freshness should be verified for ongoing research.

Provenance

Source

AFOS Analytics Dataverse

Collection Method

Cross-references public data from prediction markets (Polymarket), TSE-registered polling institutes, and press coverage.

Time Range

Covers the 2026 Brazilian presidential election cycle.

Freshness

Last updated on July 12, 2026.

Geography

Brazil