AFOS Colombia 2026: Presidential Election Polls, Markets, and Press Coverage

AFOS Analytics provides open-source civic infrastructure for electoral political-risk intelligence. This dataset covers the 2026 Colombian presidential election, including first-round and runoff polls, daily market-odds time series, a market-versus-poll divergence series, and a structured press-coverage index. The data was compiled from public Wikipedia aggregations and the AS/COA poll tracker, with each poll figure tracing to a named pollster.

Use Cases

• Analyzing divergence between prediction markets and traditional polls based on the market-versus-poll divergence series.
• Tracking changes in electoral odds over time based on the daily market-odds time series.
• Comparing media coverage with quantitative forecasts based on the structured press-coverage index.
• Studying the accuracy of named polling institutes in a close election based on the long-format poll data.

Strengths

• Includes deterministic compilation from public Wikipedia and AS/COA poll tracker sources.
• Traces each poll figure to a named pollster, providing source transparency.
• Covers both the first round (31 May 2026) and runoff (21 June 2026) of the presidential election.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Contains only public electoral data; no personal data is included.

Provenance

Source

AFOS Analytics Dataverse

Collection Method

Observational research compiling data from public Wikipedia aggregations (CC BY-SA) and the AS/COA poll tracker.

Time Range

Covers the 2026 Colombian presidential election cycle.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-06-29 19:25:12

Geography

Colombia