Prostate Cancer Burden Trends Across 54 African Countries

Country-level metrics track the estimated annual percentage change in prostate cancer incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years for males from 2010 to 2023. The dataset includes a typology classification for 2023 burden versus trend and a decomposition analysis of changes in case counts. It was authored by Yan Cui and published on figshare in April 2026.

Use Cases

• Analyze the EAPC of ASR for incidence to identify countries with the most rapidly worsening prostate cancer trends.
• Classify countries into high/low burden and improving/worsening quadrants using the 2023 ASR and 2010-2023 EAPC typology.
• Decompose changes in death counts between 2010 and 2023 into contributions from population growth, aging, and epidemiologic change.
• Compare observed versus counterfactual African Union burden for 2020-2023 to estimate the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on prostate cancer outcomes.

Strengths

• Covers 54 African countries, enabling a continental-scale analysis.
• Provides four key burden metrics (incidence, prevalence, deaths, DALYs) for each country.
• Includes 95% confidence intervals for the estimated annual percentage change metrics.
• Offers a counterfactual analysis for the 2020-2023 period based on pre-COVID trends.

Limitations

• Dataset size is 197.5 KB, indicating limited raw data and likely consisting of aggregated summary tables.
• Analysis is restricted to male populations and does not include demographic breakdowns within countries.
• Relies on modeled estimates and aggregated country-level data, not individual patient records.

Provenance

Source

figshare, authored by Yan Cui.

Collection Method

Estimated using log-linear regression and Das Gupta decomposition on aggregated burden data.

Time Range

2010 to 2023.

Freshness

Data covers up to 2023, with the dataset last updated in April 2026.

Geography

54 African countries and the African Union aggregate.