Burkina Faso Subnational Displacement Forecasts for Three Months

Burkina Faso - Subnational Displacement Forecasts provides modeled estimates of forced displacement at the admin 2 level. The dataset, created by the Danish Refugee Council, contains observed, estimated, and forecasted values for the next three-month period based on the AHEAD model. It was last updated on 2026-03-16.

Use Cases

• Forecast displacement trends for the next three months based on the AHEAD model's forecasted values.
• Analyze historical displacement evolution based on model estimates derived from conflict and food security data.
• Compare official displacement figures with model estimates using the observed and estimated values.
• Plan resource allocation for internally displaced persons at the subnational level.

Strengths

• Forecasts cover a specific three-month future period.
• Provides three distinct data types: observed, estimated, and forecasted values.
• Data is disaggregated to the admin 2 (subnational) level.
• Model incorporates factors like conflict and food security.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count and file size are unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Last updated 2026-03-16 09:10:15.810245; freshness should be verified.

Provenance

Source

Danish Refugee Council

Collection Method

Model estimates from the AHEAD model, with observed values drawn from official sources.

Time Range

Historical data up to present and a three-month forecast period.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-03-16.

Geography

Burkina Faso at the admin 2 (subnational) level.