COVID-19 Forecast for Pakistan Based on NIH and WHO Data

Rabia Chaudhry from the University of Lahore collected daily COVID-19 data from Pakistan's National Institute of Health and the World Health Organization. The study maps the outbreak's epidemiology and forecasts its trajectory from April 4th to April 30th, 2020. Analysis was performed using SPSS version 23 and a time series expert modeler.

Use Cases

• Forecast COVID-19 case trajectories based on daily case data
• Map the epidemiology of the COVID-19 outbreak based on official reports
• Review the efficacy of government-implemented preventive measures
• Model disease growth rates using time series analysis

Strengths

• Data sourced from official national and international health bodies (NIH Pakistan and WHO)
• Analysis includes forecasting from a specific date range (April 4th to April 30th, 2020)
• Uses established statistical software (SPSS) and modeling techniques

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment
• Last update date is unknown; freshness unverified

Provenance

Source

National Institute of Health (NIH) Pakistan and World Health Organization (WHO) official reports

Collection Method

Data collected from official released reports, analyzed with SPSS version 23 and a time series expert modeler

Time Range

Forecast period from April 4th to April 30th, 2020

Geography

Pakistan