CMIP6 Model Projections of Air-Sea CO2 Flux in the South-East Pacific

A 7.7 MB PDF document authored by Angela A. Bahamondes Domínguez, last updated on 2026-05-25. It contains an analysis of six global coupled climate models from CMIP6, projecting future air-sea carbon dioxide flux under two emission scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) through 2100 for the South-East Pacific region.

Use Cases

• Projecting regional carbon sink/source shifts based on CMIP6 model ensemble analysis
• Quantifying driver contributions to CO2 flux changes based on a Taylor decomposition method
• Comparing climate change impacts on upwelling systems versus fjord-dominated regions based on described regional contrasts
• Assessing the efficacy of moderate climate mitigation scenarios on preserving carbon dynamics

Strengths

• Analysis is based on six models from the authoritative CMIP6 ensemble
• Explicitly compares two distinct future emission scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5)
• Applies a process-based Taylor decomposition to quantify driver contributions

Limitations

• Dataset is a PDF report; underlying model data and column definitions are unavailable
• Row count and specific data formats are unknown, limiting direct usability for ML
• Description metadata is limited; actual data quality requires manual inspection after download

Provenance

Source

Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6)

Collection Method

Analysis of six global coupled atmosphere-ocean-carbon cycle-ecosystem models

Time Range

Projections through 2100

Freshness

Last updated 2026-05-25 04:34:40; freshness should be verified

Geography

South-East Pacific region, specifically contrasting northern upwelling systems and southern Patagonian fjords