Global Myocarditis Burden in Adolescents and Young Adults, 1990-2021

Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 data provides metrics on myocarditis for individuals aged 15-39 years from 1990 to 2021. The dataset includes 2021 estimates of 349,033 incident cases, 3,301 deaths, and 208,644 Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), stratified by region, country, age, sex, and Sociodemographic Index (SDI).

Use Cases

• Analyze incidence rate trends by Sociodemographic Index (SDI) category and region to identify health disparities.
• Model mortality and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) by age group and sex to understand demographic risk factors.
• Forecast future burden through 2050 using historical trends in incident cases and DALYs.
• Correlate national-level incident case estimates, such as the 71,257 cases for India, with regional development indicators.

Strengths

• Provides 2021 global estimates with uncertainty intervals, including 349,033 incident cases and 208,644 DALYs.
• Stratified analysis across five key dimensions: region, country, age, sex, and Sociodemographic Index (SDI).
• Covers a 32-year temporal range from 1990 to 2021, enabling longitudinal trend analysis.

Limitations

• Dataset scale is small at 1.4 MB, suggesting aggregated summary statistics rather than individual-level records.
• Rows and specific column schema are unknown, limiting detailed exploratory analysis.
• Data is modeled estimates from the GBD study, not raw clinical records, and includes uncertainty intervals.

Provenance

Source

Systematic analysis derived from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021.

Collection Method

Analysis of GBD estimates using Segment regression and log-linear models to calculate Annual Percentage Change (APC).

Time Range

1990 to 2021, with forecasts to 2050.

Freshness

Data current through 2021, with forecasts extending to 2050.

Geography

Global, with regional, national, and SDI-level stratification.