Uganda Government Expenditure Determinants from 1997 to 2025

A time series dataset from Uganda's Ministry of Finance, Planning, and Economic Development portal covering fiscal data from July 1997 to December 2025. The dataset includes figures for total public expenditure, tax revenues, debt/grants, economic activity, and export values. Author Robert Wadada used this data to analyze determinants of government spending, testing relationships between revenue, debt, exports, and economic growth.

Use Cases

• Modeling long-run relationships between tax revenue and government expenditure based on the tax-to-spend hypothesis.
• Analyzing the short-run impact of debt and export changes on fiscal policy.
• Testing Wagner's Law by correlating economic activity with public spending levels.
• Forecasting government expenditure trajectories using historical time series data on revenue and debt.

Strengths

• Covers a long time series from July 1997 to December 2025.
• Provides specific average figures: total public expenditure averaged UGX 1213 billion, tax revenues averaged UGX 809.97 billion.
• Data sourced from the authoritative Ministry of Finance, Planning, and Economic Development (MFPED) portal.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• The primary data files are in PDF and DOCX formats, which may require extraction to be used for analysis.

Provenance

Source

Ministry of Finance, Planning, and Economic Development (MFPED) data portal, Uganda.

Collection Method

Time series data collected from the official government portal.

Time Range

1997-07-01 to 2025-12-01

Freshness

Last updated 2026-05-17 16:50:55; freshness should be verified.

Geography

Uganda