DRC Subnational Displacement Forecasts for the Next Three Months

Displacement forecasts for eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo at the admin 2 level. The data includes observed, estimated, and forecasted values for the coming three-month period, generated using the AHEAD model. The dataset was last updated on 2026-03 16 and is provided by the Danish Refugee Council under a CC-BY-4.0 license.

Use Cases

• Forecasting future displacement trends based on the AHEAD model's three-month projections.
• Analyzing the relationship between conflict, food security, and displacement using the model's estimated values.
• Comparing model forecasts with official displacement figures using the provided observed values.
• Monitoring subnational displacement dynamics in eastern DRC at the admin 2 level.

Strengths

• Includes three distinct data types: observed, estimated, and forecasted values for displacement.
• Provides forecasts for a specific three-month period, offering a forward-looking view.
• Data is geospatially detailed at the admin 2 (subnational) level for eastern DRC.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count and dataset size are unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.

Provenance

Source

Danish Refugee Council

Collection Method

Model estimates from the AHEAD model, with observed values drawn from official sources.

Time Range

Forecasts cover the coming three-month period from the point of creation.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-03-16 09:23:35.821825; freshness should be verified.

Geography

Eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo at admin 2 level.