EPITOME Ship Emissions: Global Shipping Emission Projections to 2050

Monthly global shipping emission projections from 2015 to 2050 on a 0.1º×0.1º spatial grid. The dataset, produced by Camilla Geels at Aarhus University as part of the EPITOME project, includes scenarios such as Baseline, SOx Emission Control Area (SECA), and a heavy fuel oil (HFO) ban. It is based on the STEAM and DCE ship emission models and includes a specific scenario for future Arctic polar routes.

Use Cases

• Modeling future air pollution contributions from shipping based on the provided emission scenarios.
• Assessing the potential benefits of maritime mitigation options like SECA and HFO bans.
• Analyzing the environmental impact of new Arctic shipping routes due to reduced sea ice.
• Comparing Business As Usual versus High Growth traffic development scenarios for shipping emissions.

Strengths

• Scenarios are based on established models (STEAM and DCE) and a 2015 global CO2 inventory.
• Data includes multiple policy scenarios (Baseline, SECA, HFO ban) and traffic growth variants.
• High spatial resolution of 0.1º×0.1º and monthly temporal granularity.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count and total file size are unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Last update date is unknown; freshness unverified.

Provenance

Source

Aarhus University (EPITOME project)

Collection Method

Modeled projections combining the STEAM and DCE ship emission models with traffic growth data from Corbett et al. (2010).

Time Range

2015 to 2050

Geography

Global, with specific focus on the Arctic and Nordic areas