U.S. national health spending projections and retrospective reports published annually by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Office of the Actuary. The data includes documented past trends and future spending projections based on transparent, vetted assumptions. The 2013 study reported a predicted spending increase of 3.6 percent, marking the fifth consecutive year of growth below 4 percent.
Use Cases
- Forecasting national health expenditure trends based on documented past trends and future projections.
- Analyzing the impact of demographic changes, such as baby boomer influx, on Medicare spending growth.
- Evaluating the effect of policy changes like the Affordable Care Act on Medicaid enrollment and spending.
- Distinguishing between spending growth driven by per-beneficiary costs versus growth in beneficiary numbers.
Strengths
- Data is produced by the authoritative Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Office of the Actuary.
- Projections are based on transparent, vetted assumptions and are published annually.
- Includes a specific reported figure for 2013 spending growth (3.6 percent).
Limitations
- Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
- Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
- Last update date is unknown; freshness unverified.
Provenance
- Source
- Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Office of the Actuary (OACT), published in Health Affairs.
- Collection Method
- National health spending projections and retrospective reports using transparent, vetted assumptions.
- Time Range
- Covers past trends and projections for the coming decade, with specific mention of 2013 data.
- Freshness
- Annual publication frequency, but specific last update is unknown.
- Geography
- United States.