Future Displacement Forecasts for IDPs, Asylum Seekers, and Refugees

Forecasts of forced displacement one to three years into the future, generated by a machine learning model. The dataset is provided by the Danish Refugee Council and was last updated on July 15, 2026. It includes forecasts for internally displaced persons (IDPs), asylum seekers, and refugees.

Use Cases

• Forecasting refugee flows for humanitarian aid planning based on displacement forecasts.
• Analyzing trends in asylum seeker movements based on multi-year predictions.
• Modeling future needs for internally displaced persons (IDPs) based on forecasted data.

Strengths

• Forecasts extend one to three years into the future, providing a multi-year outlook.
• Data is provided by the Danish Refugee Council, a recognized humanitarian organization.
• Available under a CC-BY-4.0 license, allowing for flexible reuse.

Limitations

• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Description metadata is limited; actual data quality requires manual inspection after download.

Provenance

Source

Danish Refugee Council

Collection Method

Forecasts generated by a machine learning model.

Time Range

Forecasts cover one to three years into the future from the model's reference point.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-07-15 09:39:40.572913; freshness should be verified.