Iran Conflict Forecasts: 36-Month Monthly Predictive Fatality Data

Monthly conflict forecasts for Iran generated by the Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) consortium. The data provides predictive insights into violent conflict and fatalities up to 36 months in advance, with the most recent update recorded in March 2026.

Use Cases

• Anticipating fatality trends in Iran using the fatalities and forecasting tags
• Incorporating conflict risk into humanitarian response plans via HXL-standardized columns
• Evaluating long-term regional stability by analyzing the 36-month forecast window

Strengths

• 36-month forecast horizon for long-term planning
• HXL-standardized tags for humanitarian interoperability
• Monthly update frequency for iterative risk assessment

Limitations

• Geographically restricted to the Islamic Republic of Iran
• Predictive nature introduces inherent uncertainty compared to historical observation
• Specific column headers and row counts are not explicitly documented in the metadata

Provenance

Source

Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS)

Freshness

Monthly updates

Geography

Iran (Islamic Republic of)