Southwest Australia Plant Juvenile Period Under 2050 Climate Scenario

Southwest Australia provides juvenile period data for serotinous obligate-seeder plant species under the 2050 RCP 4.5 climate scenario. The dataset, collated by Carl Gosper of the Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and Attractions, models the years until 50% of a population flowers to assess fire interval risks.

Use Cases

• Assess population decline risk under specific fire intervals using modeled juvenile period values.
• Project juvenile period spatially across Mediterranean agro-climatic classes in southwest Australia.
• Inform local fire and conservation management strategies with species-specific reproductive maturity timelines.
• Compare juvenile period estimates under the RCP 4.5 emissions scenario for climate impact studies.

Strengths

• Data is focused on serotinous obligate-seeder taxa across southwest Australia.
• Juvenile period is modeled for a future 30-year period centered on 2050 under the RCP 4.5 scenario.
• Includes a '2×' variant representing twice the modeled juvenile period for sensitivity analysis.

Limitations

• Specific row count, column count, and sample data are unavailable.
• Data scope is limited to southwest Australia and specific plant taxa, limiting broader geographic application.
• Relies on model projections for future conditions, introducing inherent climate model uncertainty.

Provenance

Source

Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and Attractions (DBCA).

Collection Method

Data collated from several studies, with juvenile period estimated using linear models based on environmental productivity.

Time Range

Future conditions for a 30-year period centered on 2050.

Freshness

Last updated March 2026.

Geography

Southwest Australia, specifically classic and drier Mediterranean agro-climatic class areas.