Projected Juvenile Periods for Fire-Sensitive Plants in Southwest Australia

2090 RCP 8.5 projections estimate juvenile periods for serotinous obligate-seeder plant taxa in southwest Australia. The data, collated by the Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and Attractions, models years until 50% of a population flowers under future climate and fire scenarios.

Use Cases

• Assess fire interval risks for plant conservation by analyzing projected juvenile period values under the RCP 8.5 emissions scenario.
• Model population decline likelihood by comparing juvenile period estimates across the classic and drier Mediterranean agro-climatic classes.
• Inform local fire management strategies using spatially projected juvenile period data for serotinous obligate-seeder taxa.
• Validate linear models estimating juvenile period based on environmental productivity measures like annual precipitation.

Strengths

• Data is derived from models spatially projected across two distinct agro-climatic class areas within the study region.
• Includes projections for a specific 30-year future period centered on 2090 under the RCP 8.5 emissions scenario.
• Focuses on a specific ecological mechanism: juvenile period for serotinous obligate-seeder plant taxa.

Limitations

• Projections are model-based estimates for future conditions, not direct empirical measurements.
• Spatial coverage is limited to the classic and drier Mediterranean agro-climatic classes within southwest Australia.
• The underlying juvenile period data was collated from several separate studies, potentially introducing methodological heterogeneity.

Provenance

Source

Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and Attractions (DBCA), author Carl Gosper.

Collection Method

Juvenile period data collated from several studies, with linear models developed and spatially projected.

Time Range

Future projections for a 30-year period centered on 2090 under the RCP 8.5 emissions scenario.

Freshness

Last updated March 2026.

Geography

Southwest Australia, specifically classic and drier Mediterranean agro-climatic class areas.