Kyrgyzstan Subnational Rainfall: Dekadal CHIRPS Indicators and Forecasts

A source of dekadal rainfall indicators for Kyrgyzstan aggregated by subnational administrative units, produced by the World Food Programme. It combines CHIRPS v2 satellite-station data with CHIRPS-GEFS forecasts to track precipitation across 10-day intervals. The records include historical averages and anomalies updated six times per month to support near-real-time monitoring.

Use Cases

• Drought monitoring by analyzing the 3-month rainfall anomaly percentage (r3q) across administrative units
• Agricultural season tracking by comparing current 10-day rainfall (rfh) against long-term averages (rfh_avg)
• Early warning systems using the 'type' column to integrate CHIRPS-GEFS forecasts into precipitation trend analysis

Strengths

• Integrates CHIRPS v2 satellite data with in-situ station measurements
• Standardized WFP Pcode references for administrative units
• Includes pixel counts (n_pixels) to indicate aggregation density

Limitations

• Satellite-derived precipitation estimates may vary in accuracy across Kyrgyzstan's high-altitude topography
• Final validated observations have a mid-month lag for the previous month's data

Provenance

Source

World Food Programme (WFP) using CHIRPS and CHIRPS-GEFS data

Collection Method

Satellite imagery (Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation) combined with in-situ station data and GEFS forecasts

Freshness

Updated six times per month following a specific cycle of initial forecasts, updated forecasts, and preliminary/final observations.

Geography

Kyrgyzstan (subnational level)