Lao PDR: 36-Month Conflict and Fatality Forecasts via VIEWS

A source of monthly conflict forecasts for the Lao People's Democratic Republic, predicting violent events up to 36 months in advance. Produced by the Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) consortium, the data utilizes HXL-tagged CSV files to track predicted fatalities and conflict-violence indicators. The system is maintained through iterative research and development by a specialized academic consortium.

Use Cases

• Anticipating humanitarian needs based on predicted fatalities tags
• Mapping regional risk zones using geospatial conflict-violence indicators
• Evaluating long-term political stability using the 3-year forecasting horizon

Strengths

• Provides 36-month forward-looking conflict predictions
• Uses HXL standard tags for humanitarian data interoperability
• Developed by the award-winning VIEWS research consortium

Limitations

• Specific column names and row counts are not provided in the source metadata
• Forecasts are probabilistic and subject to modeling error compared to ground truth
• Geographic scope is strictly limited to the Lao People's Democratic Republic

Provenance

Source

Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) consortium

Collection Method

Model-generated/Synthetic

Time Range

Forecasts up to 3 years in advance

Freshness

Updated monthly; current metadata indicates coverage extending into 2026.

Geography

Lao People's Democratic Republic