Potentially Excess Deaths from Leading Causes by State and Locality

Potentially excess death counts and percentages for the five leading causes of death in the United States. Data originates from the CDC's National Vital Statistics System and accompanies a 2017 MMWR Surveillance Summary report. It provides state-level figures for nonmetropolitan and metropolitan areas across multiple years, age ranges, and benchmark calculations.

Use Cases

• Analyze trends in Potentially Excess Deaths for specific Causes of Death like Cancer or Heart Disease across different Years and States.
• Compare Percent Potentially Excess Deaths between metropolitan and nonmetropolitan Localities within the same HHS Region.
• Evaluate the impact of different Benchmark calculations (e.g., 2010 Fixed vs. Floating) on Expected Deaths and Potentially Excess Deaths figures.
• Model the relationship between Population size, Observed Deaths, and Potentially Excess Deaths for specific Age Ranges.
• Assess state performance by ranking States based on Percent Potentially Excess Deaths for Unintentional Injury.

Strengths

• Covers the five leading causes of death defined by specific ICD-10 code ranges.
• Offers three distinct Benchmark methodologies (2005 Fixed, 2010 Fixed, Floating) for comparative analysis.
• Provides granularity by State, Locality (metropolitan/nonmetropolitan), Year, Age Range, and Cause of Death.

Limitations

• Estimates based on fewer than 10 observed deaths are suppressed, limiting analysis for small populations or rare causes.
• Locality classification uses a fixed 2013 county scheme, which may not reflect subsequent urban/rural reclassifications.
• The exact number of rows and temporal coverage are unspecified.

Provenance

Source

CDC/NCHS National Vital Statistics System mortality data.

Collection Method

Calculated by subtracting expected deaths (based on benchmark state rates) from observed deaths.

Freshness

Last updated on 2025-04-21.

Geography

United States, state-level.