NERP TE Project 9.4: Great Barrier Reef Coastal Land-Use Scenarios to 2035

A research project from 2011-2014 developed spatially explicit land-use scenarios for the Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area coastal zone up to the year 2035. The project, associated with the Australian Ocean Data Network, compiled spatial data on coastal ecosystems and socio-economic characteristics and used GIS-based land-use change modeling. It integrated governance analysis and a conservation planning approach to identify spatial priorities for protecting and restoring coastal ecosystems.

Use Cases

• Modeling future coastal development impacts based on spatially explicit land-use scenarios.
• Identifying priority areas for ecosystem restoration based on compiled spatial data on coastal ecosystems.
• Analyzing governance systems for coastal management as part of the scenario-planning process.
• Assessing the impact of development on conservation assets related to defined conservation goals.

Strengths

• Project includes a governance analysis integrated into the scenario-planning process.
• Uses spatially explicit scenario planning to model futures to 2035.
• Applies a conservation planning approach to identify spatial options for protection and restoration.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Data may reflect geographic/temporal bias inherent to data_gov_au.

Provenance

Source

Australian Ocean Data Network

Collection Method

Land-use change modelling using the GIS Idrisi, scenario planning, and governance analysis.

Time Range

Project conducted 2011-2014, with scenarios projecting to 2035.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-07-10 15:25:23.132611; freshness should be verified

Geography

Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area (GBRWHA) coastal zone, Australia.