NESP MaC Project 4.26 – Assessing disease incursion risk by mapping and modelling shorebir

A research project mapping and modelling shorebird migratory behaviour to assess the risk of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) incursion into Australia. The project, associated with the Australian Ocean Data Network, aims to understand migration timing changes, site connectivity, and dispersal patterns. Planned outputs include rates of migration change, connectivity maps, and a forecasting tool for future climate and socio-economic scenarios.

Use Cases

• Predicting HPAI incursion pathways into Australia based on modelled migratory connectivity.
• Forecasting future shorebird migration behaviour under different climate and habitat change scenarios.
• Identifying potential HPAI hotspots along the East Asian-Australasian Flyway for early warning systems.
• Analyzing changes in migration timing and networks as a function of global change processes.

Strengths

• Project has defined aims to model migration under future climate and socio-economic scenarios.
• Focuses on a specific, high-impact zoonotic disease risk (HPAI) for Australia.
• Planned outputs include a predictive tool for migration behaviour.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count and data scale are unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Description metadata is limited; actual data quality requires manual inspection after download.

Provenance

Source

Australian Ocean Data Network

Collection Method

Likely involves tracking data, environmental modelling, and scenario analysis.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-06-05 06:24:44.087687; freshness should be verified.

Geography

East Asian-Australasian Flyway, with a focus on Australian migratory termini.