NOAA Operational Forecast System-Related Guidance Products provide daily and next-day probability forecasts for Vibrio vulnificus bacteria in the Chesapeake Bay. Forecasts are generated by forcing a statistical model with temperature and salinity averaged over the top 1 meter and 24 hours centered on 06Z. The data is produced by NOAA_NCEI.
Use Cases
- Predict Vibrio vulnificus probability from temperature and salinity averaged over the top 1 meter using a statistical model.
- Analyze spatial risk patterns on the CBOFS irregular grid, with resolution ranging from 34m to 4895m.
- Monitor daily and next-day forecast guidance for public health advisories in the Chesapeake Bay.
- Correlate pathogen occurrence forecasts with physical variables like temperature and salinity over 24-hour periods.
Strengths
- Forecasts are based on a statistical model forced with specific physical variables: temperature and salinity.
- Provides daily and next-day probability forecast guidance.
- Spatial resolution on the CBOFS grid ranges from 34m to 4895m, offering detailed coastal coverage.
Limitations
- Sample size, row count, and temporal coverage are unknown.
- The statistical model's accuracy and validation details are not provided.
- Data freshness, update frequency, and license information are unknown.
Provenance
- Source
- NOAA_NCEI
- Collection Method
- Forecasts generated by forcing a statistical model with temperature and salinity averaged over the top 1 meter and 24 hours centered on 06Z, using the CBOFS model.
- Geography
- Chesapeake Bay