Experimental Data on Temporal Asymmetry in Likelihood Judgments

A dissertation by Karlene Hanko from Cornell University investigates a psychological phenomenon where people judge uncertain events as more probable in the future than in the past. The work includes a series of studies documenting this effect and testing the proposed mechanism linking the future to openness and possibility. The dataset likely contains experimental results from these studies, though specific column details and size are unknown.

Use Cases

• Analyzing the effect of temporal framing on probability judgments based on the described experimental paradigm.
• Testing psychological theories about the association between the future and possibility mentioned in the description.
• Modeling cognitive biases in likelihood estimation for events in the past versus the future.
• Comparing judgment patterns across different experimental conditions described in the dissertation chapters.

Strengths

• Data originates from a formal academic dissertation at Cornell University.
• The research is based on a series of studies aimed at documenting a specific psychological phenomenon.

Limitations

• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• The license is listed as closed, restricting access and reuse.

Provenance

Source

Karlene Hanko, Cornell University

Collection Method

Likely gathered through controlled psychological experiments as part of a dissertation.