Outflow of Elderly from the Housing Market in 40 Dutch Regions, 2015-2050 Scenarios

2015, 2030, and 2050 projections of elderly household outflows from the housing market across 40 COROP regions in the Netherlands. The dataset contains absolute numbers and shares for four scenarios from the WLO-cahier 'Regional Development and Urbanisation', including estimates for rental and owner-occupied dwellings. It was produced by PBL (Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency) in 2018.

Use Cases

• Model regional housing supply changes based on projected elderly household outflows.
• Compare high-base and low-base demographic scenarios for long-term planning.
• Analyze the composition of future housing vacancies based on rental and owner-occupied shares in the outflow.

Strengths

• Includes projections for three distinct years: 2015, 2030, and 2050.
• Covers 40 COROP regions, providing sub-national geographic detail.
• Compares four distinct scenarios (high-base, low-base, High-spread, Low-concentration).
• Provides both absolute outflow numbers and relative shares of the total housing supply.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Last update date is unknown; freshness unverified.
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.

Provenance

Source

PBL (Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency), derived from WLO-cahier 'Regional Development and Urbanisation' (CPB & PBL 2015).

Collection Method

Calculations based on scenarios for regional development and urbanisation, with an additional model estimating rental/owner-occupied ratios.

Time Range

2015 (baseline), with projections for 2030 and 2050.

Freshness

Data is from a 2018 publication with projections to 2050; underlying assumptions may be dated.

Geography

40 COROP regions in the Netherlands.