HIV/AIDS Burden in Chinese Adults, 1990-2023 and Forecast to 2035

China's HIV/AIDS burden among adults aged 15–49 years from 1990 to 2023, based on Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 data. The dataset includes age-standardised incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALY rates, with ARIMA model projections to 2035. Author Huibo Yan published the data on figshare in May 2026.

Use Cases

• Analyzing temporal trends in HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs based on GBD 2023 data.
• Forecasting future disease burden to 2035 based on ARIMA model projections.
• Assessing sex disparities in HIV/AIDS metrics based on reported male and female trends.
• Evaluating population attributable fractions for risk factors like unsafe sex based on the provided analysis.

Strengths

• Covers a 33-year time series from 1990 to 2023, with specific percentage changes reported for key metrics.
• Includes projections to 2035 with 95% uncertainty intervals based on ARIMA models.
• Focuses on a critical demographic (adults aged 15–49) for HIV epidemic control in China.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• The dataset is very small (10.8 KB), indicating limited scope or highly aggregated data.

Provenance

Source

Global Burden of Disease Study 2023.

Collection Method

Data extracted and analyzed using joinpoint regression and ARIMA modeling.

Time Range

1990 to 2023, with forecasts to 2035.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-05-27 17:35:23; freshness should be verified.

Geography

China, specifically adults aged 15–49 years.