Neonatal Mortality Forecasts for Uganda, January–October 2024

Uganda is the geographic scope of this dataset. It provides monthly forecasts of neonatal mortality for the period January to October 2024, generated using a Bayesian dynamic linear model. The dataset was authored by George Bamwebaze and published on figshare under a CC-BY-4.0 license.

Use Cases

• Evaluating the performance of Bayesian dynamic linear models for health forecasting based on the described methodology.
• Analyzing trends in neonatal mortality for Uganda based on the monthly forecast data.
• Comparing forecasted health outcomes against actual reported data for the 2024 period.
• Informing public health resource allocation based on predicted neonatal mortality rates.

Strengths

• Forecasts are for a specific 10-month period (January–October 2024).
• The model used is explicitly described as a Bayesian dynamic linear model.
• Dataset is small (5.5 KB) and in a widely accessible XLS format.

Limitations

• Row count and column definitions are unknown, limiting suitability assessment.
• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• The description metadata is limited; actual data quality requires manual inspection.

Provenance

Source

George Bamwebaze via figshare.

Collection Method

Likely contains simulated or model-generated forecast data.

Time Range

Forecasts for January–October 2024.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-03-19 17:42:44; freshness should be verified.

Geography

Uganda.