Infection Rate Estimates: Predictive Skill of PPTs Scored with CRPS

A 5.5 KB Excel file uploaded to figshare by Wyatt H. Bridgman on May 29, 2026. It contains data on the predictive skill of Probabilistic Predictive Trajectories (PPTs) generated using different infection-rate estimation procedures. The PPTs are scored using the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) and have units of case counts.

Use Cases

• Comparing the performance of different infection-rate estimation procedures based on CRPS scores.
• Evaluating probabilistic predictive trajectories (PPTs) for epidemiological forecasting.
• Benchmarking spatial models used in joint formulation estimations of disease spread.

Strengths

• File size is precisely 5.5 KB, indicating a compact and focused dataset.
• Dataset is licensed under CC-BY-4.0, permitting broad reuse with attribution.
• Specific scoring metric (CRPS) and units (case-counts) are clearly defined in the description.

Limitations

• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment for large-scale modeling.
• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Description metadata is limited; actual data quality requires manual inspection after download.

Provenance

Source

figshare

Collection Method

Likely contains results from computational simulations or model evaluations, as described.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-05-29 17:34:39; freshness should be verified.