Under-Five Stunting Prevalence in Ethiopia, 2000-2030 Forecasts

Rewina Tilahun Gessese provides annual under-five stunting prevalence data for Ethiopia from 2000 to 2024, sourced from the WHO Global Health Observatory. The dataset includes forecasts for 2025-2030 generated using time series models, with the Exponential Smoothing (ETS) model selected as the best performer. The data was last updated on April 22, 2026.

Use Cases

• Forecasting child stunting trends based on historical prevalence data mentioned in the description
• Evaluating time series model performance (ARIMA, ETS, MLP, LSTM) for public health indicators
• Assessing progress towards national and SDG malnutrition targets based on projected prevalence figures

Strengths

• Data spans 25 years of historical observations (2000-2024).
• Forecasts are based on a model with reported performance metrics (MAE=1.09, MAPE=2.71%, R²=0.903).
• Includes forecast confidence intervals (e.g., 95% CI for 2029).

Limitations

• Row count and column-level documentation are unknown.
• The dataset is very small (692.0 B), indicating limited scope or summary-level data.
• Freshness should be verified as the last update is in the future (2026-04-22).

Provenance

Source

WHO Global Health Observatory, via author Rewina Tilahun Gessese.

Collection Method

Retrieved annual prevalence data and applied time series forecasting models (ARIMA, ETS, MLP, LSTM).

Time Range

Historical data: 2000-2024. Forecasts: 2025-2030.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-04-22 17:33:36

Geography

Ethiopia