Angelo Gurgel's research investigates the potential production and land use implications of a global biofuels industry using a computable general equilibrium framework. The model parameterizes biomass production with agro-engineering yield data and a second-generation cellulosic conversion technology, comparing land conversion approaches. It estimates end-of-century biofuels production could reach 221-267 EJ in a reference scenario and 319-368 EJ under greenhouse gas mitigation efforts.
Use Cases
- Modeling land conversion from natural to agricultural areas based on the described land supply elasticity and direct cost approaches.
- Projecting global biofuels production potential under different greenhouse gas emission scenarios.
- Analyzing the trade-offs between agricultural intensification and deforestation driven by biofuel demand.
- Parameterizing biomass production yields consistent with agro-engineering information as described in the paper.
Strengths
- Model incorporates two distinct approaches to land conversion: one with a land supply elasticity and another with direct conversion costs.
- Provides quantitative production estimates for biofuels, ranging from 221 to 368 exajoules (EJ) by the end of the century.
- Explicitly models a 'second generation' cellulosic biomass conversion technology.
Limitations
- Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
- Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
- Last update date is unknown; freshness unverified.
Provenance
- Source
- Angelo Gurgel via paperswithcode.
- Collection Method
- Model outputs from a computable general equilibrium framework developed for the research paper.
- Time Range
- Projections for the end of the century.
- Freshness
- Last updated is unknown.
- Geography
- Global.