Projected Ocean Warming and Sea Level Rise Under SSP5-8.5, 2081-2100

Supplementary data and code from a 2021 Nature Climate Change study by Kewei Lyu et al. The repository contains constrained projections for upper-2000m and full-depth ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level rise for the period 2081-2100 under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. The data is used to generate figures for the paper and includes comparisons with IPCC AR6 projections.

Use Cases

• Comparing original vs. observationally-constrained climate model projections based on the emergent constraint methodology described.
• Analyzing projected ocean heat content (OHC) in Zettajoules for the upper 2000 meters and full ocean depth.
• Analyzing projected thermosteric sea level rise in centimeters for the upper 2000 meters and full ocean depth.
• Reproducing figures from the associated Nature Climate Change paper using the provided MATLAB code.

Strengths

• Data is directly linked to a peer-reviewed study published in Nature Climate Change in 2021.
• Includes specific numerical projections for ocean heat content (e.g., 1858.6 ZJ constrained upper-2000m OHC) and sea level rise (e.g., 21.7 cm constrained upper-2000m thermosteric SL).
• Provides code (MATLAB .m files) to reproduce the main figures from the publication.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Last update date is unknown; freshness unverified.

Provenance

Source

Kewei Lyu, Xuebin Zhang, & John A. Church. Projected ocean warming constrained by the ocean observational record. Nature Climate Change (2021).

Collection Method

Data and code used in the associated scientific study, likely derived from climate model outputs and observational records.

Time Range

Projections for 2081-2100 relative to baselines 2005-2019 and 1995-2014.

Geography

Global ocean coverage.