Electoral Democracy Projections Across Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Offering projections of electoral democracy levels across the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) through the year 2100. It was created by modeling historical democracy from structural correlates and adjusting to meet SSP narratives. The projections indicate varying democratic outcomes by century's end depending on adaptation and mitigation challenges.

Use Cases

• Analyze projected electoral democracy trends through 2100 under different SSP narratives.
• Compare democracy levels across SSP scenarios, such as worlds with high adaptation challenges versus low challenges.
• Model the relationship between macro-level structural correlates and long-term electoral democracy projections.
• Assess the potential impact of democratic governance on climate change mitigation and adaptation pathways.

Strengths

• Projections extend through the year 2100, providing a long-term view.
• Based on a historical model of electoral democracy from macro-level structural correlates.
• Aligned with the established Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) framework used in integrated assessment modeling.

Limitations

• Projections are model-based and depend on the assumptions of the SSP narratives and historical correlates.
• The specific methodology for adjusting historical models to SSPs is not detailed in the provided input.
• Raw data columns, sample data, and dataset size are unknown, limiting immediate analytical utility.

Provenance

Source

Collin J. Meisel Dataverse

Collection Method

Created by modeling historical electoral democracy from macro-level structural correlates and adjusting to meet Shared Socioeconomic Pathway narratives.

Time Range

Projections through the year 2100.

Freshness

Last updated on 2026-01-29.

Geography

Country-level (implied by 'average country level' in description).