Replication Data for 'Demographic Persistence and Compositional Drift in EU External Imbalances Through 2050' by Brian Peters (2026). The dataset likely contains a processed panel for analyzing demographic trajectories, compositional drift, and pension system impacts on EU27 current account balances from 2024 to 2050. It uses Eurostat nonfinancial sectoral accounts and UN World Population Prospects demographic projections.
Use Cases
- Forecasting aggregate EU27 demographic impact on current accounts based on projected -0.13 pp/GDP change.
- Analyzing within-EU compositional drift based on divergent country trajectories like DNK +0.47 and ITA -0.90.
- Modeling the funded-pension-vs-PAYG distinction's effect on corporate sector net lending based on the Z₁ × funded-pension interaction result.
- Estimating income interaction contributions to chronic-surplus reduction based on the Z₁ × log GDP/cap metric.
Strengths
- Includes specific quantitative findings, such as an EU27 demographic current account delta of -0.13 pp/GDP and a persistence forecast of +2.26 pp/GDP.
- Contains country-level trajectory data for nations like Denmark (+0.47), Sweden (+0.63), Italy (-0.90), and Spain (-1.19).
- Uses authoritative source data from Eurostat (nasa_10_nf_tr) and UN World Population Prospects.
- Includes five phase scripts and a self-contained processed panel for replication.
Limitations
- Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
- Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
- Last updated 2026-06-09 18:01:46; freshness should be verified for projections extending to 2050.
Provenance
- Source
- Eurostat nonfinancial sectoral accounts (nasa_10_nf_tr) and UN World Population Prospects demographic projections.
- Collection Method
- Processed panel created as a replication package for the cited research note.
- Time Range
- Projections through 2050, with analysis from 2024.
- Freshness
- Last updated 2026-06-09 18:01:46
- Geography
- EU27, plus UK, Norway, Switzerland, and Iceland (31-country panel).