Replication data for a 2026 study by Brian Peters investigates the causal effect of demography on capital flows. The package uses a 140-country panel and addresses endogeneity with Bartik-style instruments, 20-year lagged age structures, and natural experiments. Key findings confirm that predetermined demographics predict current account balances with coefficients similar to contemporaneous measures.
Use Cases
- Replicate IV and OLS estimates linking lagged age structure to current account balances.
- Analyze the impact of natural experiments like German reunification on capital flow dynamics.
- Test Bartik-style shift-share instruments for causal identification in a macroeconomic panel.
- Compare coefficient magnitudes between predetermined and contemporaneous demographic measures.
Strengths
- Panel data covering 140 countries.
- Employs multiple identification strategies: Bartik instruments, lagged variables, and natural experiments.
Limitations
- Specific row count, column details, and sample size are unknown.
- Data freshness is unclear beyond the 2026 publication date; underlying data may be older.
Provenance
- Source
- Brian Peters, Demographics and Global Capital Allocation.
- Collection Method
- Replication package for a published study, likely aggregating macroeconomic indicators from sources like the World Bank and UN.
- Time Range
- null
- Freshness
- Last updated in April 2026.
- Geography
- 140 countries.