Replication data for a 2026 study examining the link between donor-country demographic aging and official development assistance (ODA) cuts. The package includes a 22-country donor panel from 1990 to 2024, a bilateral gravity panel covering 22 donors and 190 recipients from 1995 to 2024, and analysis of three natural experiments. Key findings suggest aged donors compress total ODA uniformly rather than reshaping recipient allocation.
Use Cases
- Replicate econometric tests on donor-side fiscal aging based on the described 22-country panel and gravity model.
- Analyze the relationship between demographic pressure and foreign aid cuts using the provided falsification battery and natural experiments.
- Study bilateral aid allocation patterns based on the 1995-2024 gravity panel covering 125,210 donor-recipient cells.
- Validate the 2025 U.S. ODA outturn prediction against the panel-implied 95% prediction interval infrastructure included in the package.
Strengths
- Includes multiple empirical approaches: a 22-country panel, a bilateral gravity panel with 125,210 cells, and three natural experiments for triangulation.
- Covers a long time series for the donor panel (1990-2024) and the bilateral gravity panel (1995-2024).
- Replication package is tied to a specific 2026 academic paper, providing clear context and methodology.
Limitations
- Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
- Row count for individual datasets is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
- Data freshness should be verified as the last update was 2026-05-08.
Provenance
- Source
- Demographics and Global Capital Allocation, author Brian Peters.
- Collection Method
- Data likely compiled from OECD DAC2A aid statistics and CEPII GeoDist, analyzed using pseudo-Poisson maximum likelihood (PPML) and other econometric methods.
- Time Range
- 1990-2024 for the donor panel; 1995-2024 for the bilateral gravity panel.
- Freshness
- Last updated 2026-05-08 14:37:37.
- Geography
- Covers 22 DAC donor countries and 190 recipient countries.