A study leverages daily individual-level jail records to estimate causal effects of incarceration on voting in 2020. The analysis finds jail incarceration reduces turnout of jailed registered voters by 41% on average, with a 68% reduction for jailed Black registered voters. It also examines impacts on voter registration from jail.
Use Cases
- Analyze the relationship between daily jail records and voter turnout to quantify the 41% average reduction in voting.
- Investigate racial disparities by comparing the 68% turnout reduction for Black registered voters to other demographic groups.
- Model the causal effect of incarceration timing on voter registration from jail using individual-level records.
- Study the interaction between jail incarceration duration and the exercise of constitutional voting rights.
Strengths
- Data supports causal inference by exploiting the timing of incarceration events.
- Findings include specific quantitative estimates, such as a 41% average reduction in turnout and a 68% reduction for Black voters.
- Focuses on a critical 2020 election period for studying voting rights.
Limitations
- The underlying dataset structure, including row count and specific columns, is not described.
- Geographic scope and time range of the source jail records are unspecified.
- Potential limitations in generalizability beyond the 2020 election context are unknown.
Provenance
- Source
- The Journal of Politics Dataverse
- Collection Method
- Analysis of new data on daily individual-level jail records.
- Time Range
- Centered on the 2020 election.
- Freshness
- null
- Geography
- null