Refractive Error Blindness Burden in Chinese Youth, 1990-2035 Projections

1990 to 2021 data from the Global Burden of Disease study tracks the prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of refractive error-related blindness in Chinese children and adolescents under 20 years. The dataset includes retrospective analysis and projections to 2035 using BAPC and ARIMA models, assessing the impact of COVID-19 and socioeconomic development. It was authored by Yihan Zhang and uploaded to figshare in May 2026.

Use Cases

• Modeling future disease burden trends based on ARIMA and BAPC projections mentioned in the description
• Analyzing the impact of population aging on age-standardized rates based on decomposition components
• Assessing the effect of COVID-19 on adolescent health outcomes based on reported sharp prevalence declines
• Comparing global variations in adolescent disease burden based on the >10-fold variation across countries

Strengths

• Covers a 31-year time series from 1990 to 2021
• Includes projections for future trends up to 2035
• Analyzes a specific population of nearly 3 million youth affected
• Uses established Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment
• Data is stored in TIF format, which is atypical for tabular epidemiological data and may require conversion

Provenance

Source

Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021

Collection Method

Retrospective and predictive analysis using GBD data, BAPC, and ARIMA models

Time Range

1990-2021 with projections to 2035

Freshness

Last updated 2026-05-28 09:03:11; freshness should be verified

Geography

China, with global comparative analysis