Global Burden of High-Temperature Exposure in Adults Aged 65+, 1990-2021

247,098 heat-related deaths occurred globally among older adults in 2021, according to data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The analysis by Weiman Zhu examines trends from 1990 to 2021 across 204 nations, projecting future burdens to 2050. It quantifies deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and health inequities related to high-temperature exposure.

Use Cases

• Modeling future heat-related mortality trends based on projections to 2050.
• Analyzing regional health disparities based on data from 204 nations and territories.
• Assessing the burden of non-communicable diseases like ischemic heart disease and stroke attributable to high temperatures.
• Evaluating health inequities using measures like the Inequality Slope Index and Concentration Index.

Strengths

• Covers 204 nations and territories, providing a global scope.
• Includes long-term trend analysis from 1990 to 2021 with future projections to 2050.
• Quantifies burden with specific metrics: 247,098 deaths and 3,986,215 DALYs in 2021.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Data may reflect geographic or temporal bias inherent to the Global Burden of Disease Study source.

Provenance

Source

Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021

Collection Method

Analysis of GBD data using measures like the Inequality Slope Index and a Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model.

Time Range

1990 to 2021, with projections to 2050

Freshness

Last updated 2026-05-21 05:42:16; freshness should be verified.

Geography

Global, covering 204 nations and territories