Feed Cost Shocks and Profitability in China's Hog Supply Chain, 2015-2025

Monthly data from January 2015 to December 2025 examines the relationship between feed costs, piglet prices, and downstream outcomes in China's hog sector. The dataset, authored by Jinshuai Zhang and last updated in May 2026, supports a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) analysis to assess profitability pressure and price dynamics. It is shared under a CC-BY-4.0 license on figshare.

Use Cases

• Modeling asymmetric price pass-through based on feed cost shocks described in the analysis.
• Analyzing long-run cointegration relationships between feed costs, piglet prices, and hog prices.
• Assessing producer profitability pressure using the hog-to-feed ratio metric mentioned in the paper.
• Conducting time-varying estimation of supply chain dynamics via rolling-window analysis.
• Evaluating the role of production expectations and breeding-side adjustment in hog-market outcomes.

Strengths

• Data covers a substantial 11-year monthly time series from 2015 to 2025.
• Analysis employs advanced econometric methods including NARDL models and cointegration tests.
• Dataset is small (10.2 KB) and in a widely accessible XLSX format for quick inspection.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.
• Description metadata is limited; actual data quality requires manual inspection after download.

Provenance

Source

figshare, authored by Jinshuai Zhang.

Collection Method

Likely compiled from official Chinese agricultural and price statistics for analysis.

Time Range

January 2015 to December 2025.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-05-14 05:50:47; freshness should be verified.

Geography

China.