Thailand Trade Strategic Risk Analysis Reproducibility Package: Evidence Ledger, Risk Scor

A reproducibility package for a strategic analysis of Thailand's trade structure and risk exposure, created by MENG, WEI and last updated on 2026-04-29. The package includes an evidence ledger, a judgement matrix, a strategic trade-risk scoring table, and sensitivity tests for scenarios like oil-price shocks and exchange-rate risk. It is designed to support transparent review and auditability of analytical claims rather than being a complete archive of raw trade data.

Use Cases

• Auditing strategic trade-risk scoring logic based on the structured scoring formula for exposure, dependence, and replaceability.
• Conducting sensitivity tests for economic scenarios like oil-price shocks and Thai baht appreciation using the provided matrix.
• Reviewing evidence anchors and potential falsifiers for analytical claims via the included judgement matrix.
• Verifying risk-score calculations using the Python verification script included in the package.

Strengths

• Includes a structured evidence ledger linking analytical claims to evidence anchors and potential falsifiers.
• Provides a Python script for risk-score verification, supporting computational reproducibility.
• Contains sensitivity-test files for multiple economic shock scenarios, including compound pressure conditions.

Limitations

• Description metadata is limited; actual data quality requires manual inspection after download.
• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.

Provenance

Source

WEI MENG Dataverse

Collection Method

Reconstructed trade indicator records and analytical package for a trade strategy report.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-04-29 12:46:37; freshness should be verified.

Geography

Thailand