UKCP09: UK Climate Projections and Clay Shrink-Swell Hazard

UKCP09 research project forecasts identify areas of shrink-swell geohazard across Great Britain with increased potential due to changing climatic conditions. The dataset has been created at two levels of detail for different climatic scenarios and dates up to 2080. The British Geological Survey (BGS) produced this data, with a premium version at 50m resolution.

Use Cases

• Model future property subsidence risk based on climate-driven shrink-swell hazard forecasts.
• Assess regional infrastructure vulnerability based on high-resolution (50m) geohazard mapping.
• Compare long-term geohazard scenarios based on different UKCP09 climate projections up to 2080.
• Plan land use and development based on combined climate and geological susceptibility data.

Strengths

• Provides high-resolution (50m) geospatial data for detailed analysis.
• Covers multiple future climate scenarios and dates up to 2080.
• Based on the authoritative UKCP09 climate projections research project.

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download.
• The premium version is a paid-for product, limiting accessibility.
• Row count and file size are unknown, which may limit suitability assessment.

Provenance

Source

British Geological Survey (BGS)

Collection Method

Created based on forecasts derived from the UKCP09 research project.

Time Range

Projections up to 2080.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-04 09 08:29:58.803002; freshness should be verified.

Geography

Great Britain