UKCP09 Climate Projections and Clay Shrink-Swell Hazard Maps for Great Britain

Shrink-swell hazard maps for Great Britain, integrating UKCP09 climate projections up to 2080. The dataset is produced by the British Geological Survey at two resolutions: a 2km grid overview and a more detailed 50m grid version. The data identifies areas where changing climatic conditions may increase the potential for shrink-swell, a significant geohazard.

Use Cases

• Model future geohazard risk based on UKCP09 climate scenario forecasts mentioned in the description
• Compare regional shrink-swell susceptibility at different spatial resolutions (2km vs 50m)
• Assess long-term infrastructure vulnerability based on projected climatic conditions up to 2080

Strengths

• Provides projections for multiple climatic scenarios and dates up to 2080
• Offers data at two levels of detail: 2km and 50m grid resolution
• Created by the authoritative British Geological Survey (BGS)

Limitations

• Column-level documentation is absent; field semantics must be inferred after download
• The premium versions are paid-for products, limiting access to the most detailed data
• Row count is unknown, which may limit suitability assessment

Provenance

Source

British Geological Survey (BGS)

Collection Method

Likely created by integrating UKCP09 climate projection research with geological susceptibility models.

Time Range

Projections extend up to 2080.

Freshness

Last updated 2026-04-09 08:34:03.678132; freshness should be verified

Geography

Great Britain